09/01/2008 (12:06 pm)

Rating agencies seen weathering regulatory storm

Filed under: management |

The three big credit rating agencies were shaken by a host of new regulations designed to correct shortcomings and curb their influence on investors.

But after the dust settles they most likely will continue to dominate Wall Street.

The biggest threat comes from reforms put forward by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including one to wean investors and Wall Street off the risk-assessment reports provided by Standard & Poor’s (MHP.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Moody’s Investors Service (MCO.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Fitch Ratings (LBCP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz).

The three agencies are blamed for failing to spot the pitfalls in the mortgage securities market, contributing to massive losses for global banks and crippled credit markets.

But with SEC Chairman Christopher Cox and European Union Internal Market Commissioner Charlie McCreevy both expected to leave office early next year, analysts wonder if regulators have the time and authority to implement meaningful reforms.

“I don’t think much is going to change. They will keep making money … because some guy in Oklahoma wants a Moody’s or S&P rating,” said Philippe Stephan, former director of product development at Moody’s KMV, a unit that assesses companies’ credit quality.

For decades, S&P, Moody’s and Fitch have dominated the landscape. Wall Street turned to them to rate their products and investors relied on them to determine the quality of companies and securities.

Now, the SEC reforms such as eliminating a requirement that money market funds hold highly rated securities means investors may turn to other avenues to evaluate a security’s credit worthiness. 

Read more

08/09/2008 (1:42 pm)

Google admits its AOL investment may be impaired

Filed under: management |

Google Inc’s 5 percent stake in Time Warner Inc’s AOL unit may be worth less than the $1 billion the Web company paid for it in 2006, Google warned in a regulatory filing on Thursday.

“We believe our investment in AOL may be impaired,” Google said in its latest quarterly financial filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Google said it would continue to review its investment for impairment, and financial write-downs could be required in the future.

In a deal announced in December 2005 and which closed the following year, Google paid $1 billion in cash for a 5 percent indirect equity stake in AOL.

The deal by the Mountain View, California-based company gave AOL a theoretical valuation of $20 billion at the time.

In return, Google secured renewal of its search advertising deal with AOL, its largest ad partner, at least until Google’s recent partnership with Yahoo takes effect in coming months, analysts say. Google’s original pact with AOL in 2002 was the landmark deal that legitimized Google’s advertising services.

PREPARING TO SPLIT

The formal admission by the Silicon Valley Internet giant that the value of its investment may have fallen follows recent moves by Time Warner to shape up AOL for a possible sale. 

Read more

07/23/2008 (5:51 pm)

Huge oil trading loss sinks energy trader SemGroup

Filed under: management |

SemGroup LP declared bankruptcy on Tuesday after $3.2 billion in oil trading losses torpedoed the formerly 12th-largest private U.S. company.

The Tulsa-based company racked up the massive losses as oil prices ran up record gains, undercutting short crude futures positions SemGroup bought to hedge against its 500,000 barrel-per-day trading business.

To meet obligations, SemGroup plans to sell off oil and natural gas gathering, transportation, and storage assets worth an estimated $6.14 billion that were purchased in a whirlwind of acquisitions since it was founded in 2000.

“We have determined that the best way to maximize value for our creditors is to undertake a sales process that will transition our valuable businesses to well-established companies,” Terry Ronan, SemGroup’s acting chief executive, said in a statement.

SemGroup took a $2.4 billion loss on July 16 after it transferred its New York Mercantile Exchange oil futures trading account to Barclays Plc, converting what they called “loss contingencies” into an actual loss.

Included in the NYMEX loss was $290 million owed to SemGroup by a trading company owned by co-founder and former chief executive Thomas Kivisto, who was placed on administrative leave on July 17.

Securities legislation limits publicly traded company executives from extensive dealings with their firms, but experts said privately held companies have more flexibility.

“They can’t do anything illegal. But there is no particular disclosure to anyone apart from any contractual agreements that they may have with investors,” said Kenneth Froewiss, a professor of finance at New York University. 

Read more

07/21/2008 (9:15 am)

Web pioneer Gross revitalized by green energy

Filed under: management |

In 1973, when Bill Gross was 15 and cars were lined up at every gas station in Southern California, the aspiring engineer wanted to do something about spiking energy prices.

So he figured out how to build parabolic concentrators and Stirling engines to capture the sun’s energy, selling the plans for $4 apiece through ads in “Popular Science” magazine.

Gross, now 49, is again building solar power projects, albeit after a lengthy detour through the early days of the Internet.

His company, Idealab, created a slew of Web businesses in the 1990s, including pay-per-click advertising pioneer GoTo.com and online toy retailer eToys, which he said eventually “outspent its leash.”

“Everything we touched was turning to gold for a while, and then the crash came,” Gross said in an interview at his headquarters in Pasadena, California. He is not related to the Bill Gross who manages bond fund Pimco.

In its heyday, Idealab was planning an initial public offering, had 5,000 employees and locations in Boston, San Francisco, Pasadena and London. That is down to between 500 and 1,000 employees and one office now.

In that period, he also faced accusations — since dismissed or settled — by some of Idealab’s shareholders that he used company assets to finance a lavish lifestyle.

Two years ago, Gross was spared financial ruin again when Idealab shareholders agreed to pay off a $50 million personal loan he owed to a bank. 

Read more

07/07/2008 (2:27 pm)

Is capitulation on the cards?

Filed under: management, term |

Profit warnings, breaches of key index levels, record oil prices, stressed consumers and investors seeking safety provide the background for markets this week, and many people are wondering how long this will all last.

There has been no classic “capitulation” — a market concept which states that heavy, sometimes panic, selling of stocks heralds the bottom and a beginning of an upturn. But there is enough gloom around to make a contrarian bullish.

“You are beginning to get into capitulation territory now,” said David Bowers, joint managing director of Absolute Strategy Research and consultant to Merrill Lynch for its monthly global fund manager sentiment survey.

“Are we going to go from a narrow bear market to a broad bear market?” he said, meaning that investors may start selling not only poorly performing stocks such as financials but also those which have not done too badly this year.

This week may offer some sort of answer if only because of the depths that have been reached recently.

MSCI’s main gauge of world stocks .MIWD00000PUS, for example, fell last week to a five-month trough. This was below the key March low it reached during the height of the Bear Stearns crisis when the U.S. Federal Reserve stepped in.

The U.S. S&P 500 index .SPX has joined its European and Japanese .N225 counterparts in formal bear market territory — that is, at least 20 percent below a cycle’s peak.

Investor sentiment indicators have also been hitting significant levels. Reuters global asset allocation poll last week, for example, showed equity holdings among leading investors to be at the lowest level in the more than four years it has been compiled.  

Read more

07/01/2008 (2:51 pm)

MBIA sold $4 bln of assets to meet obligations

Filed under: management |

MBIA Inc (MBI.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) said on Monday that after selling $4 billion of assets in the second quarter, it now has enough cash and collateral to meet the extra requirements triggered by its recent downgrades.

The announcement followed a Wall Street Journal report that said the bond insurer was raising cash through municipal bond sales last week to make billions of dollars in payments triggered by its rating downgrade by Moody’s Investors Service.

Because of the sales, MBIA said will record pre-tax net realized losses on its second-quarter income statement of approximately $300 million. But this should not have a material impact because the losses “did not differ substantially” from unrealized losses already taken, MBIA said in a press release.

MBIA shares had fallen as much as 13 percent on Monday, but pared those losses after the company announcement to trade down almost 9 percent at $3.81.

“Contrary to recent statements in the media, MBIA is not in a ‘tenuous situation,’” said C. Edward Chaplin, chief financial officer, in a statement.

“The holders of our insurance policies, GICs (guaranteed investment contracts), medium-term notes and other debt instruments can rest assured that MBIA will meet its obligations to them as it always has — on time and in full,” the company said in a statement describing its latest actions.

MBIA and Ambac, both bond insurance industry giants, have lost their top ratings, mainly because of ill-timed and costly expansions into subprime mortgage securities.

The U.S. municipal market last week was pressured in part by MBIA’s sales of $400 million to $500 million of tax-free debt, and traders said on Monday they feared similar selling by Ambac Financial Group (ABK.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz). 

Read more

05/11/2008 (4:19 pm)

Chrysler says sorry to vulnerable lessor

Filed under: management |

On Your Side is always up for a challenge, especially when a vulnerable consumer needs help.

The question: is a contract legal when it’s signed by an adult who can’t read and can barely print his name?

A mother wrote to us last January about her son, who is in his 30s and is developmentally delayed. He had leased a used car from a Toronto dealer in 2001.

Though he was illiterate, her son had gone to Young Drivers of Canada and tape-recorded the material. Then, he received his driver’s licence when allowed to complete the written test verbally.

He told his mother about the car lease only after he lost his job and couldn’t keep up the payments.

"As his legal guardian/ trustee, I would never have agreed to his entering into this transaction," she wrote to the car dealer in 2006, enclosing a letter from his doctor.

"This contract has been a financial hardship for my son. When I went through it with him, it became obvious to me that he did not understand what the commitment entailed.

"I realize he was able to use the car for five years, but this transaction should not have taken place. There was also a charge of $2,000 for a warranty he didn’t even know existed, therefore never used."

I sent the complaint to Stuart Schorr, a Chrysler Canada Inc. spokesperson in Windsor, who promised to investigate.

This led to a meeting between the mother and the manager of the dealership, which had ignored her previous appeals for help.

"He agreed to pay off the remainder of the loan, which was reduced to just under $1,000 if we paid within a specific period," she told me last month.

"Chrysler Canada has since stepped up to the plate and given my son a cheque that matched the amount the dealer gave to clear the debt.

"But more importantly, they wrote him an apology."

After two years, she’s glad to see this fight come to an end. She signed a release form with the dealer, whose name is not being used.

"I’m positive it would not have happened without your intervention because you know the extensive, unsuccessful measures I have taken to get this resolved."

I thought MPPs could resolve such cases. But all she got from her Member of Provincial Parliament was a suggestion to go to the media.

The mother had gone to the Ontario Motor Vehicle Industry Council, which had told her to write to the dealer with evidence of her son’s disability.

When the dealer didn’t respond, she didn’t go back to vehicle council.

Deputy registrar Mary Jane South said she would make a note on the dealer’s file of what had happened.

The Consumer Protection Act can be used to rescind contracts that are considered "unconscionable," South added.

This means it’s against the law to make people sign contracts if they can’t reasonably protect their interests because of disability, ignorance, illiteracy or inability to understand the language.

The mother had consulted a lawyer, but felt she couldn’t afford a legal battle – especially when the cost would probably exceed the amount owing.

"Although the money is an issue, the atrocious treatment of my son is the real issue," she said in January.

"The finance company continues to hound him, making him fearful when the phone rings."

The collection calls have now stopped, thanks to a devoted mother who kept fighting for her son’s financial and emotional well-being.

You can reach Ellen Roseman at onyourside@thestar.ca.

Sourse

04/18/2008 (2:01 am)

EBay posts 22% hike in Q1 profit

Filed under: management |

SAN FRANCISCO – Benefiting from a weak U.S. dollar, online auction company EBay Inc. beat Wall Street's expectations today, reporting a 22 per cent hike in first-quarter profit and raising its outlook for the rest of the year.

EBay reported net income of US$460 million, or 34 cents per share, on revenue of $2.19 billion in the quarter that ended March 31. In the year-ago quarter, EBay earned $377 million, or 27 cents per share, on revenue of $1.77 billion.

Excluding one-time items, EBay's net income was $562 million, or 42 cents per share, compared to $460 million, or 33 cents per share, in the first quarter of last year. On that basis, analysts polled by Thomson Financial expected, on average, earnings of 39 cents per share on revenue of $2.08 billion.

More than half of EBay's business – including its core online auction, fixed-price and store listings, PayPal, Skype and classifieds – takes place overseas. Sales in those stronger foreign currencies translate to more dollars for EBay.

EBay raised its outlook for 2008, saying it now expects revenues between $8.7 to $9 billion with earnings per share between $1.35 to $1.40. Excluding special items, it expects earnings per share between $1.70 to $1.75.

The company said it repurchased 37 million shares of its stock at a cost of $1 billion in the first quarter.

"This was a very strong financial quarter for the company," EBay chief executive John Donahoe said in a company statement. "The results reflect the strength provided by our diverse portfolio of businesses."

Donahoe said the company's stability and growth give it the confidence to change its products.

During the quarter, the company made several modifications aimed at boosting listings, improving buyers' experiences and making the site safer from fraud. The company changed its fee structure and feedback system, a move that some worried could dampen listings growth.

The number of listings on the site grew 10 per cent over the year-ago quarter, continuing growth seen in the fourth quarter, which came after two quarters of declining listings last year.

Growth in active users, however, remained flat at one per cent over the year-ago quarter and the growth rate has steadily declined, down from 10 per cent in the year-ago quarter. The growth rate for the total value of goods for sale on EBay, or GMV, is also down slightly at 12 per cent, versus 14 per cent a year ago.

Analyst Tim Boyd with American Technology Research said the numbers are strong overall, but the lag in key growth metrics could be a symptom of recession.

"The market was definitely hoping to see some of these key metrics turn around," Boyd said. "What is negative is the fact that GMV growth did not accelerate, so people wanted to see that 12 per cent growth go to 14 or 15 per cent growth, and it didn't get there even with a lot of currency help."

The San Jose-based company also raised its outlook for the current quarter, for revenue between $2.1 billion and $2.15 billion, with earnings per share between 30 cents and 32 cents. Excluding one-time items, it expects earnings per share between 39 cents and 41 cents in the second quarter.

Shares of EBay rose 10 cents in after-hours trading Tuesday, up 1.2 per cent from their closing point, $32.12, up 54 cents, or 1.7 per cent, for the day.

Sourse

04/16/2008 (2:22 am)

Wachovia punished by mortgage business expansion

Filed under: management |

CHARLOTTE, N.C.–Wachovia Corp. is getting a lesson in “timing is everything."

The nation's fourth-largest bank reported a $393 million (dollar figures U.S.) first quarter loss and has been forced to cut its dividend and seek a $7 billion cash injection to make up for a poorly timed expansion of its mortgage business.

The company also said it plans to cut 500 jobs in its corporate and investment bank.

"I'm deeply disappointed with our first-quarter results," Chief Executive Ken Thompson told analysts Monday on a conference call. "I know these actions aren't without cost. I wish they weren't necessary, but they are."

Shares in Wachovia fell $2.26, or 8.1 per cent, to $25.55 on Monday.

It's the second time this year the Charlotte-based bank has gone to the well for cash, a move analysts say more banks large and small will do to brace themselves against further loan losses.

"This isn't surprising and we'll see more of it," said Donn Vickrey, an analyst with Gradient Analytics Inc. in Scottsdale, Ariz.

As the housing market worsens and the credit crisis deepens into mortgages beyond subprime consumers to include even prime borrowers and commercial real estate, Vickrey said others like struggling Midwestern bank National City Corp. and regional bank holding company Chemical Financial Corp. are at risk for an earnings miss due to the rate of growth in nonperforming loans and charge-offs.

Even larger outfits, like Citigroup Inc., the No. 1 U.S. bank by assets, may have to have to raise more cash by selling additional stakes in themselves to outside investors or by slashing their dividends.

Last week, Seattle-based Washington Mutual Inc. said that a consortium of investors led by TPG would invest $7 billion into the struggling thrift.

"There's a number of banks out there that are really high-risk for this same thing," Vickrey said.

Wachovia's troubles with the housing slump have been compounded by its 2006 acquisition of California-based Golden West Financial Corp., a $25 billion deal whose timing, Thompson has acknowledged, "was not the best."

"With the benefit of hindsight, it is clear that the timing was poor for this expansion in the mortgage business," Thompson wrote in a letter to shareholders in February.

But in an interview Monday, Thompson reaffirmed Wachovia's commitment to the mortgage industry, saying "we see mortgage as a big opportunity for us."

"We think it's a market that's going to be dominated by a few large banks and we see Wachovia being a player in that," Thompson said.

Golden West's loans were concentrated in California, one of the hardest-hit housing markets in the United States. Wachovia said this month that it was considering halting the making of loans, including its signature Pick-A-Payment mortgage loans, in 17 California counties heavily affected by falling home prices and rising foreclosures.

Last week, it announced a new set of lending guidelines that appeared to be a broader step to help manage losses at the bank.

Wachovia's loss for the quarter works out to 20 cents a share. That compared with profit of $2.3 billion, or $1.20 a share, a year earlier. Excluding merger-related and restructuring charges, the bank lost $270 million, or 14 cents a share.

Revenue fell 4.5 per cent to $7.89 billion from $8.27 billion last year.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected Wachovia to earn 40 cents per share on revenue of $7.98 billion. The earnings estimates typically exclude one-time items.

Wachovia also said it took write-downs of $2 billion during the quarter related to the credit crunch. It also set aside $2.8 billion to cover problem loans, up from $1.5 billion in the fourth quarter.

To shore up its balance sheet, Wachovia plans to cut its dividend by 41 per cent to 37.5 cents per share from 64 cents per share. It said the move is expected to save $2 billion annually in order "to build capital ratios and provide more operational flexibility."

The bank also said it plans to cut more jobs in its corporate and investment bank, an area that has been hit by a drop in issuance of complex securities. Since October, Wachovia has cut more than 260 jobs in corporate and investment banking, which had about 6,100 employees as of Dec. 31.

Its share sale will involve 145.8 million shares of common stock at $24 each, raising roughly $3.5 billion. Wachovia also expects net proceeds from a convertible preferred stock offering of about $3.4 billion. The bank said it intends to use the money it raises for general corporate purposes.

Brian Foran of Goldman Sachs said Wachovia will gain $11 billion in cash over the next two years, enough to cover losses from the company's loans. He lowered his profit estimates for the next three years, and trimmed his price target to $32 per share from $33.

Thompson said that the fresh capital will be enough to cover the bank's needs and more through 2009 even if Wachovia's worst-case scenario for the housing market proves true.

"We think we are now one of the best-capitalized major banks in the country and we think that will help us get through the credit cycle over the next couple of years," Thompson said.

Sourse

04/10/2008 (2:04 am)

Housing starts brisk in March

Filed under: management |

OTTAWA – Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. reports the annual rate of housing starts was 254,700 units in March, down slightly from 255,600 units in February.

For the first quarter of 2008, actual starts, in rural and urban areas combined, were up about 12.8 per cent compared to the same period last year.

CMHC's chief economist Bob Dugan says the strong showing in March is largely due to construction of multiple-family dwellings, particularly condominiums.

Dugan says construction starts among single-detached homes, usually a strong trend indicator, decreased slightly.

CMHC predicts the housing market will moderate gradually throughout 2008.

Urban starts edged down by 0.4 per cent to 221,500 units in March.

Urban multiples were up 1.1 per cent to 141,000 units, while singles decreased 2.9 per cent to 80,500 units.

Rural starts were estimated at an annual rate of 33,200 units in March.

Sourse

Next Page »