05/22/2012 (8:48 am)

U.K. Needs More BOE Stimulus and Possible Tax Cuts, IMF Says - Bloomberg

Filed under: UK, technology |

Britain requires further monetary easing to aid the economy and Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne should prepare for temporary tax cuts, the International Monetary Fund said.

With the economy mired in its first double-dip recession since the 1970s, the Bank of England and the Treasury should introduce policies to underpin demand and unclog the financial system, the Washington-based lender said in its annual review of the U.K. published today. The central bank needs to inject further stimulus through bond purchases or by cutting interest rates, with tax cuts following as soon as the fall, it said.

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05/20/2012 (7:28 am)

Premier Wen Says China Will Focus on Growth, Xinhua Reports - Bloomberg

Filed under: Mortgage, online |

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said the government will focus more on bolstering economic growth, indicating policies may be loosened further as inflation moderates.

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05/18/2012 (11:28 am)

Remember theGlobe.com? Tech IPOs have a dismal track record

Filed under: Uncategorized, marketing |

There are plenty of reasons to "like" Facebook, but Internet IPOs are better known for their epic flops than wild successes.

Of the 31 Internet IPOs held since the beginning of 2011, 22 are currently trading below their closing price on the day they went public. Here’s an even scarier stat: 16 are trading below their offer price.

After popping by a collective 34% on IPO day, those 31 stocks are now trading at an average of just 8% above their offer prices. Excluding LinkedIn () and Zillow (), which are trading at more than double their offering prices, the rest of the Internet IPO list is collectively up by just 2%.

Generalizing across more than two dozen Internet companies is tricky, because they all have different business models, but the trend has been quite consistent: Internet IPOs get a nice bounce on day one of public trading, then slide off in subsequent days and weeks.

That’s the environment in which Facebook () is offering its shares to the public. The social network will sell about a fifth of its shares on Thursday. Those early buyers can begin reselling their shares on the Nasdaq exchange on Friday.

"It’s hard to say exactly what’s going to happen with Facebook, but from what we’re hearing on the demand side of things, I wouldn’t expect Facebook to do anything out of the ordinary in terms of beating this trend," says Nathan Drona, analyst at ABR Investment Strategy. "There will be an initial bump, but then the time to exit is at the strength of that rise."

Facebook priced its IPO at $38 and Drona expects shares to surge as high as $50 before eventually falling back to a range of $31 to $33.

Related story: 10 big dot.com flops

The bump-and-slide trend is caused by investors’ initial enthusiasm during IPOs — which eventually gets replaced by an examination of the companies’ business fundamentals.

Wall Street analysts remain concerned about Facebook’s slowing growth, weak ad sales-per-user numbers and lack of monetization of its mobile products.

Stephan Paternot, founder of 1990’s dot-com poster child theGlobe.com, knows a little about what Facebook is getting itself into.

TheGlobe Business Card Holders.com was a pioneering Internet community, and its November 1998 IPO generated an investor frenzy. On its first day of trading, the stock had one of the biggest IPO surges in history, soaring by 606%.

The never-profitable company never again traded as high, and was out of business within five years.

"Unfortunately, our run-up on IPO day meant we left $200 million to $300 million on table and raised only $30 million," Paternot told CNNMoney this week. That’s a problem underwriters are supposed to guard against: Because companies get cash only for the shares they sell directly, they don’t profit when IPO buyers resell their shares for huge gains.

"The positive side was it created a branding event — by the end of the day, everyone had heard of theGlobe," Paternot recalls. "But when every institutional investor flipped it the next day, the stock went down, and everyone thought there was something wrong with us."

The current Internet IPO trend is starting to echo the 1990’s dot-com bubble.

The most famous example from go-go days is VA Linux, a PC company whose shares jumped 698% in its first day of trading — still a U.S. record, according to Dealogic. That stock also never traded higher than on its IPO day, falling from $239 all the way down to $8.47 a year later.

Though their fall hasn’t been nearly as epic, two of last year’s super-hyped IPOs — Groupon () and LinkedIn — have also never yet returned to the highs they reached on their IPO days.

The companies received bullish headlines when their IPOs popped: Groupon rose 31% and LinkedIn shot up 109% on their first days of trading. But the sentiment turned sour once their shares started slipping.

Though he believes Facebook’s long-term potential is strong, in the near-term, Paternot thinks the bump-and-slide serves as a harbinger of things to come for Facebook.

"Facebook is as over-hyped and inflated as a company going public can be," he says. "All that company can do is slide down in the next six to nine months." 

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05/12/2012 (4:24 am)

Five questions with Beth Noonan

Filed under: Business, UK |

In late June, after three years of planning, the Helix Center will open, providing lab space and offices to start-up technology, life and plant sciences companies.

The development of the $7.5 million business incubator was shepherded by Beth Noonan, of the St. Louis County Economic Council, who will also oversee operations after the center opens its doors. With low-rent shared labs and flexible office space, the center could be home to as many as 30 fledgling companies. Its proximity to the Donald Danforth Plant Science Center, where very early-stage research is done, and the Bio-Research & Development Growth (BRDG) Park, where more established enterprises find homes, is by design. The center is the latest addition to the region’s bioscience belt and the fifth incubator developed by the council.

How did the project begin and where do things stand now?

The genesis came about when we were approached by some folks from the Danforth Center and Nidus (an entrepreneur network based next door). Their focus was changing. We have the research and the science at the Danforth Center, and BRDG is a post-incubator space, so there emerged this gap in terms of affordable space for companies in the county. We were a natural fit because we run an incubator program. This is just a specialized version. The construction is not quite completed, but we should be done in June. We’ll have 8,000 square feet of office space, 7,800 of lab space.

What’s the objective?

The bottom-line goal of any incubator is to really provide that first commercial space for early-stage companies at an affordable price, and to provide them with shared resources and amenities, and access to other entrepreneurs. They all function in the same way. But in terms of the Helix Center it provides specialized lab space and specialized equipment that early-stage technologies wouldn’t have access to. I think what’s unique about Helix is the close proximity to the specialized resources nearby.

What kind of company do you see finding a home at the Helix Center?

The kind of tenants we’re looking for are folks who are in the bioscience space, which is broadly defined: plant science, life science, clean technology. We’d like to have some nexus to the biosciences. It’s not necessarily something that finds the next drug for cancer, but a support company. A contract research company or doing something with medical records related to biosciences.

How do you go about finding these companies?

We’re doing quite a few things. We’re going to places where start-up companies gather to inform them of the space. We’re getting close to finishing our web site. I’ve been doing speaking engagements. A lot. Our goal is to provide space to companies that are growing in St. Louis. The most likely source of our tenants will be St. Louis.

What ensures that they stay here after they “graduate?”

Of course, we can’t force people to stay in St. Louis. But I think what we’re trying to do with Helix and what a lot of folks in the region are doing, is help continue strengthening the environment for entrepreneurs and making sure people have access to resources. We have early-stage companies here all the way up to Fortune 500 companies. We can help them make those connections. We have other resources to help them as we grow.

 

BETH NOONAN

Title • Vice President bio-sciences and technology, business development division, St. Louis County Economic Council.

Education • BA in Linguistics, Brown University, masters degrees in social work and jurisprudence, Washington University

Family • Husband, Frank Pfau; two children, Emily, 12, and Michael, 9.

Hometown • Chesterfield

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05/10/2012 (11:08 am)

Why Google’s self-driving car may save lives

Filed under: UK, management |

Google’s self-driving car got its license this week as the state of Nevada became the first in the nation to license the company’s vehicles.

And while a computer-driven car may seem unsettling, the technology represents a potential leap forward in auto safety.

More than 30,000 people are killed each year in crashes despite huge advances in auto safety. The overwhelming majority of those crashes are caused by human-driver error.

Computer driven cars could reduce traffic deaths by a very significant degree, said David Champion, head of auto testing at Consumer Reports, but only if all cars are computer-driven.

"I think if all the cars were self-driving, it would be a benefit," he said. "I think a mixture would be a bit chaotic."

That’s because humans are better at predicting the behavior of other humans than computers could ever be, he said.

"When I’m approaching an intersection, I look to see of the other driver is looking at me," said Champion. "If he’s looking somewhere else and inching forward, I’m going to lift off the gas."

For the foreseeable future, human "drivers" will continue to bear the ultimate responsibility even in Google’ (, Fortune 500)s self-driving cars. This means you won’t be able to lounge in the back seat and check email on your way to work. You’ll still have to sit in the driver’s seat and pay attention.

Self-driving cars, like Google’s, use sensors to watch cars, pedestrians and other obstacles. They combine a number of technologies that are already available on cars today — including GPS tracking, wheel motion sensors and radar — with additional technology and sophisticated software that allow the car to read street signs and signals and actually drive itself through traffic.

Google’s cars, modified Toyota Priuses, are still in the testing stages and aren’t available to the public. But some so-called "driver assistance" technologies are already helping to lower traffic deaths in cars you can buy now.

Electronic Stability Control which uses computers to help drivers maintain control during abrupt maneuvers, has been shown to reduce fatal crashes by as much as a third.

Cars of the future: They’re going to be tiny and weird

ESC is now required on all new cars but was first used, on a wide scale, on SUVs. That’s why, last year, statistics showed top-heavy SUVs to be less prone to roll over in real-world crashes than regular cars.

Beyond that, there are various other "driver assistance" technologies.

Blind spot alerts warn drivers of cars in adjacent lanes and forward collision alerts sound an alarm when a driver is closing in too quickly on a car ahead payday loans in one hour.

"We’ll start seeing more features that will migrate from just these alerts and warnings to taking a little more control," said John Capp, director of active safety technology at General Motors (, Fortune 500).

GM’s new Cadillac XTS, for instance, will brake automatically if a driver fails to respond to an imminent collision. Nissan’s () Infiniti division has a several models that provide slight braking to nudge a vehicle back into its lane if it begins to drift out.

Many luxury cars are now also available with "active cruise control" that allows a car driving at highway cruising speeds to automatically maintain a safe following distance behind the car ahead. In some models, these systems can work even in stop-and-go city traffic.

Systems like these could be helpful, said Champion, but also present the possibility of over-reliance or abuse.

"It all comes down to the person behind the wheel using the system," he said.

Sometimes these systems can cause confusion. For instance, some reports of unintended acceleration in Toyota cars were triggered by drivers failing to understand how an "active cruise control" system worked.

With these systems, drivers set the active cruise control to a certain speed. If there’s a slower car ahead, the cruise control will automatically slow the vehicle down to maintain a safe distance between the two cars. Once the slower car moves away, active cruise control will accelerate to the higher preset speed. This acceleration can be startling to drivers unfamiliar with the system.

There is at least some evidence, however, that "driver assistance technologies" do work. A recent study by the Highway Loss Data Institute, an insurance industry group, indicated that the forward collision avoidance system in the Volvo XC60 helped reduced accident claims by 27%. Volvo’s system warns the driver of an impending collision and applies the brakes if the driver takes no action.

One technology the Google car doesn’t utilize, but which would help make self-driving cars much more effective, Champion said, is vehicle-to-vehicle communication. So called V2V communication uses transmitters to send and receive signals that tell other cars where each car is, where it’s headed and how fast it’s moving. The devices can also communicate with transmitters along the road.

V2V is already in advanced stages of development by a consortium of automakers and the federal government’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. 

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05/02/2012 (1:04 pm)

U.S. stocks have lots to consider

Filed under: money, technology |

U.S. investors were set to hold steady at Tuesday’s open, awaiting new reports on manufacturing, auto sales and corporate results for clues about the strength of the U.S. economy.

The Dow Jones industrial average (), S&P 500 () and Nasdaq () futures were all little changed. Stock futures indicate the possible direction of the markets when they open at 9:30 a.m. ET.

On tap for Tuesday are new readings on manufacturing, construction spending and auto sales. Investors will be searching for signs to assuage concerns that the recovery in the U.S. economy may be stalling.

The latest round of corporate results include reports from BP () and Pfizer (, Fortune 500).

U.S. stocks finished in the red Monday, ending a mostly sour month on a weak note. Following three months of solid gains, all three major U.S. indexes posted their worst monthly returns of the year in April.

Resurfacing concerns about Europe and a possible hard landing in China have helped put a brake on the momentum from earlier this year.

A report on manufacturing in China rose slightly, which could help allay concerns about the economy slowing too quickly.

Meanwhile, Australia’s central bank announced it was cutting its key interest rate by 0.5 percentage point to 3.75%, due to below trend growth both in Australia and globally. It was the bank’s biggest rate cut since February 2009, when global financial markets were still in near free fall.

On Monday, Spain’s government said its economy declined for the second straight quarter, revealing that the nation is in recession. The report came with Spanish bond yields still at perilously high levels, and just days after Standard and Poor’s downgraded the country’s credit rating.

World markets: Britain’s FTSE 100 () edged higher 0.4% in midday trading. Markets in Paris and Frankfurt were closed for the May Day holiday.

Japan’s Nikkei () ended down 1.8%, while markets in Hong Kong and Shanghai were closed for the holiday.

Economy: The April installment of the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing Index is expected to come in at 53, down from 53.4 in March, according to a survey of analysts by Briefing.com. Any reading above 50 still indicates growth in the sector that has helped to lead the U.S. economic recovery.

NYSE operator hit by trading slump

April U.S. auto sales are forecast to be up to a seasonally-adjusted annual sales pace of about 14.3 million vehicles. That would be a rise from the year-ago rate of 13.4 million, but down from March sales’ pace of 14.7 million.

U.S. automakers General Motors (, Fortune 500) and Ford Motor (, Fortune 500) are both forecast to report lower sales.

March construction spending is expected to have risen by 0.5%, according to economists’ estimates.

Companies: Oil company BP posted a drop in quarterly earnings to $1.52 a share from $1.76 a year earlier, missing estimates of analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. BP joined Exxon Mobil (, Fortune 500) and ConocoPhillips (, Fortune 500) as major oil companies to miss forecasts for the first quarter. Shares of BP lost 2.8% in premarket trading.

Drugmaker Pfizer (, Fortune 500), a Dow component, reported earnings of 58 cents a share for the first quarter, down from 60 cents a share a year earlier but 2 cents better than forecasts. Shares of Pfizer slipped 0.7% in premarket trading.

Delta Air Lines (, Fortune 500) announced plans Monday to purchase an oil refinery outside of Philadelphia, a novel approach to reducing its fuel costs. Shares gained 1.7% in premarket trading.

4 ways to cash in on $100 oil

Currencies and commodities: The dollar lost ground slightly against the euro, but gained on the British pound and Japanese yen.

Oil for June delivery lost 30 cents to $104.57 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery fell $1.50 to $1,662.50 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged higher, but the yield was little changed at 1.91%.  

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04/27/2012 (3:36 am)

Swedish Retail Sales Rose for Sixth Month Amid Gains in Jobs - Bloomberg

Filed under: legal, technology |

Swedish retail sales unexpectedly rose for a sixth month in March as lower interest rates and falling unemployment fueled consumer confidence.

Sales rose a monthly 0.2 percent and climbed an annual 4.5 percent, compared with 3.5 percent the previous month, Stockholm-based Statistics Sweden said today. The median estimate in a survey of six economists by Bloomberg was for a monthly drop of 0.3 percent and an annual gain of 3.4 percent.

04/25/2012 (12:40 pm)

Federal Reserve holds off on further steps to boost economic recovery

Filed under: Business, Uncategorized |

WASHINGTON

04/23/2012 (7:28 pm)

German central banker: ECB can’t do it all

Filed under: legal, money |

Germany’s top central banker is rejecting calls for the European Central Bank to cut interest rates and offer more support to banks and bond markets.

Jens Weidmann says that “monetary policy is not a panacea and central bank firepower is not unlimited,” particularly within the constraints of a currency shared by 17 countries.

Weidmann heads Germany’s Bundesbank and sits on the 23-member governing council of the ECB.

He was responding to calls by some international finance officials for the ECB to do more to support the eurozone economy and its indebted governments. Weidmann said the central bank system in Europe has already done a lot and can’t be a substitute for inaction by governments on budget-cutting and pro-growth reforms.

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04/16/2012 (12:56 am)

Geithner Urges U.S. Lawmakers to Leave Drama Out of Debt Limit - Bloomberg

Filed under: marketing, technology |

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner warned Congress against repeating last year

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